“[A] basic shortcoming of our neural wiring is that we can’t quite grasp probabilities. Statistics are completely counterintuitive: our brains are simply not cut out, evolutionarily, to understand that inherent uncertainty.”
“The postmortem for a problem can be the preamble to a solution.” “When people’s well-being depends on hitting certain numbers, they get very interested in tilting the odds in their favor.”
“Most businessmen are not, contrary to popular belief, ‘natural’ liberals. Their inclination is towards order and peace. They tend to be anxious and feel vulnerable, understandably so since they seldom know what is going to happen next.”